Listen to the Leaders

Weekly Economic CommentaryThe LEI provides a valuable monthly guidepost regarding where we are in the economic expansion. The LEI has to turn negative on a year-overyear basis to indicate a recession, which it has not yet done. Despite the weak reading in August 2016, we do not think the LEI is signaling a recession in the near term, although global and policy risks remain…

Read the entire commentary.


  1. Scott Coxwell says:

    Thanks Vance. We appreciate the report. Interesting article. The next few weeks will prove critical one way or the other.